Labour + Greens + Māori have enough to govern in latest poll

James Shaw, Jacinda Ardern, and Te Ururoa Flavell
RNZ

One News released a new poll tonight, results shown in the tweet above.

  • Labour 43%
  • National 39%
  • Greens 5%
  • NZ First 9%
  • Māori 2%
  • ACT 0.1%

Irregardless of any predicted changes to the electorates, here’s each party’s total seats:

  • Labour 53
  • National 48
  • Greens 6
  • NZ First 11
  • Māori 2
  • ACT 1

Therefore:

Labour + Greens = 59 seats, 2 short

National + ACT = 49 seats, 12 short

Labour just needs the Māori Party’s 2 seats to govern, whereas National needs both NZ First and the Māori Party to govern.

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